Simulation uncertainty of complex economic system behavior
نویسنده
چکیده
Property relation management of the (ownership, disposable, using) limited resources, which naturally occurs in the economic systems, face a problem uncertainty behavior of its active elements. The model of identification and forecasting of the economic system trajectory states in time is offered in work, which allows complex estimation its conduct from positions of risk (additive distributing), incompleteness (subadditive distributing) and contradiction (superadditive distributing) of information accessible to the manager.
منابع مشابه
A Simulation Approach to Evaluate Performance Indices of Fuzzy Exponential Queuing System (An M/M/C Model in a Banking Case Study)
This paper includes a simulation model built in order to predict the performance indicessuch aswaiting time by analyzing queue’s components in the real world under uncertain and subjective situation. The objective of this paper is to predict the waiting time of each customer in an M/M/C queuing model. In this regard, to enable decision makers to obtain useful results with enough knowledge on th...
متن کاملThe Effect of the Economic Uncertainty Index on the Stability of the Health of the Financial System
Background & Aims: Uncertainty is a state in which the knowledge of a person or persons is limited and full knowledge of the state or result that has been achieved or is not possible. Macroeconomic uncertainties create an uncertain environment for investors and make it impossible for investors to make decisions about future investments more efficiently and with more confidence, and they may suf...
متن کاملCognitive mapping concept of resource management for the viability of local communities
The local community is a complex socio-economic system, and its ability to function for an indefinitely long period of time (viability) is not investigated sufficiently today. The purpose of the research was, using the cognitive mapping, propose to the local community management developing their own management strategies to ensure its viability. Considering the weakly structured subject area of...
متن کاملComparative Study of Random Matrices Capability in Uncertainty Detection of Pier’s Dynamics
Because of random nature of many dependent variables in coastal engineering, treatment of effective parameters is generally associated with uncertainty. Numerical models are often used for dynamic analysis of complex structures, including mechanical systems. Furthermore, deterministic models are not sufficient for exact anticipation of structure’s dynamic response, but probabilistic models...
متن کاملSIMULATING CONTINUOUS FUZZY SYSTEMS: I
In previous studies we first concentrated on utilizing crisp simulationto produce discrete event fuzzy systems simulations. Then we extendedthis research to the simulation of continuous fuzzy systems models. In this paperwe continue our study of continuous fuzzy systems using crisp continuoussimulation. Consider a crisp continuous system whose evolution depends ondifferential equations. Such a ...
متن کامل